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Edge Writer: Stephen Poloz

Articles by Stephen Poloz

Date Article Title
Nov 28, 2008 How did we fall so fast? Look back to 9/11 trauma

Downturn's roots in consumer shift back to saving from spending

Jun 27, 2008 Departing columnist's archives reflect volatile times

Export Analysis

Apr 18, 2008 EDC proves port in storm for exporters

Export Analysis

Apr 04, 2008 Export growth continues despite U.S. slowdown

The Canadian and U.S. economies are both slowing. But under the surface, they could not be more different

Mar 21, 2008 Investment a positive despite U.S. slowdown

Export Analysis

Mar 07, 2008 U.S. credit crunch spells caution for investors

Export Analysis

Feb 22, 2008 U.S. credit crunch spells caution for investors

Export Analysis

Feb 08, 2008 Exporter confidence fades in face of 'perfect storm'

EDC forecast calls for declines in volume and value in 2008

Jan 25, 2008 Free Trade Agreement has been a win-win deal

Analysis

Nov 30, 2007 Saudi Arabia rolls out investment red carpet

Diversification helps fuel boom outside of traditional oilpatch

Nov 16, 2007 Banks remember that '70s show: Stagflation

Slowing growth and rising inflation are very real risks today

Nov 02, 2007 U.S. currency experience relevant to Canadians

Exchange rate forecasts are generally built on a model of economic fundamentals

Oct 19, 2007 There's more to loonie's rise than weak eagle

Export Analysis

Oct 05, 2007 U.S. housing woes vibrate across Canada

Wood-product manufacturers face uncertain future

Sep 21, 2007 U.S. sub-prime mortgage crisis still bubbling

Analysis

Sep 07, 2007 World economy should ride out financial crisis

Export Analysis

Aug 24, 2007 Cracks appear in global investor confidence

Banks have begun deleveraging process

Aug 10, 2007 Canada enjoying South American boom

Strong regional growth helping drive surge in exports

Jul 27, 2007 Strong sectors driving economic growth

It may take months for global slowdown to become apparent

Jul 13, 2007 Political risk hovers over foreign investment

Regime stability is underlying driver in any decision

Jun 29, 2007 Manufacturing sector adapting to new reality

Jobs disappearing, but workers are finding new options

Jun 15, 2007 Foreign operations benefit banks, Canada

Growth abroad key ingredient to future international success

Jun 01, 2007 Loonie defying model with recent ascent

Global monetary policy expectations helping it ride high

May 18, 2007 Mexico shows resilience in market storms

But more reforms needed to attract interest of investors

May 04, 2007 Integrative trade giving smaller companies edge

Export Analysis

Apr 20, 2007 Central banks facing rising 'speed limits'

Emerging economies push potential global growth higher

Apr 05, 2007 Venezuela risks getting burned by oil windfall

Anti-business political agenda could destabilize economy

Mar 23, 2007 Job-loss debate a political football in U.S.

International trade helping power U.S. economic gains

Mar 09, 2007 U.S. consumers defy gloomy economic forecast

Housing collapse and inflation haven't deterred spending

Feb 23, 2007 Cities a natural lens on economic activity

Urban settings offer ingredients essential for progress

Feb 09, 2007 Chinese juggernaut starting to slow down

Investment spending moderating as inflation on the rise

Jan 26, 2007 Slow economic growth reflects global unease

Canadian exporters feeling the pinch, but there’s a bright side

Jan 26, 2007 Slow economic growth reflects global unease

Canadian exporters feeling the pinch, but there's a bright side

Jan 12, 2007 Brazil will need investment to meet lofty goals

Global slowdown will make growth tougher to achieve

Dec 22, 2006 Slowing global economy is raising red flags

But conditions not identical to last world financial crisis

Dec 08, 2006 Global slowdown spells volatile exchange rates

Weakening U.S. buck just part of normal cyclical pattern

Sep 29, 2006 Crystal ball needed to predict oil direction

Analysis

Sep 15, 2006 Canadian profit margins in need of stress relief

Totals are up, but several sectors being squeezed

Aug 03, 2006 Specialty crop sector not all roses for Canadian farmers

Hard work, ingenuity needed to grow sector

Jul 20, 2006 Exporter confidence reflects trade prospects

Analysis: Companies prepared to face global challenge: survey

Jul 06, 2006 Canada has benefited from Chile free trade deal

Chile has been a strong proponent of liberalized trade and has signed many bilateral trade agreements over the years, including one with Canada in 1996 and one with the U.S. in 2003

Feb 16, 2006 All signs point to strong productivity growth

But workers don't always share in profits

Dec 22, 2005 B.C.'s farmed fish sales reeling in export dollars

Agri-food business a healthy sector

Oct 06, 2005 Canadian exporters to endure hurricane fallout

Sales to U.S. could fall by $2 to $3 billion

Sep 22, 2005 Canadian exporters to endure hurricane fallout

Sales to U.S. could fall by $2 to $3 billion

Jun 09, 2005 Energy supply putting big brakes on Chile's growth

But investment could increase domestic supply

May 26, 2005 Canadian auto sector more than just Big Three

Auto parts businesses compensating for stagnation in auto assembly

May 05, 2005 High-priced oil is sowing seeds of own demise

Fuel cost expected to level off, says expert

Apr 28, 2005 High-priced oil is sowing seeds of own demise

Fuel cost expected to level off, says expert

Mar 31, 2005 Productivity story better than raw numbers imply

Economy responding to new economy

Mar 17, 2005 Construction sector unsung export star

Outlook promising for industry, says economist

Jan 20, 2005 Exporters doubtful over global outlook

Survey reveals lack of confidence

Jan 13, 2005 Tsunami's economic cost subject to shocks

Disaster not forecast to have widespread financial spinoff

Dec 23, 2004 Import backlog at Vancouver port an economic drag

Even temporary trade disruptions have big impact

Oct 07, 2004 Rising interest rates reassure bond markets

Yield curve suggests that there is confidence in central banks – for now

Sep 02, 2004 Commodity prices signal a plateau in store

Markets consistent with economic growth

Aug 19, 2004 Profit margins recovering despite dollar’s rise

Most sectors bouncing back from last year’s squeeze

Aug 05, 2004 Trade flows in more than two directions

Bilateral trade balances can be misleading

Jul 08, 2004 Housing market not quite like 1970s bubble

Demand growing for fundamental and lasting reasons

Jun 24, 2004 Excess capacity keeping inflation in check

Strong sectors helping prop up stress areas

Jun 17, 2004 Bond markets realize jobs news is good

Surge in U.S. employment has impact

Mar 25, 2004 Trade in services unrecognized in most debates

Growing opportunity for Canadians in global market

Mar 11, 2004 Euroskeptics arguing against recent history

Some economists worry about growth outlook

Mar 04, 2004 History against soaring peak in metals boom

Price rise likely, but not forever

Feb 26, 2004 Mexico pulls self back from economic abyss

Fly in the ointment is still politics

Jan 29, 2004 Signs of respite in geopolitical tension

Symbolic shifts signal hopeful changes ahead

Jan 22, 2004 Rising Canadian dollar dampens exporters’ glee

Many find it difficult to take advantage of global upswing

Dec 04, 2003 U.S. protectionism costly move to consumers

Value creation by manufacturing worker equals others in supply chain

Nov 13, 2003 Russia, Brazil both recover with different outcomes

Brazil weathers perfect storm, but ill wind still blowing

Oct 09, 2003 Privatization key for Poland

Country a natural target for Canadian exports, imports

Aug 21, 2003 Smaller trade deals opening doors to Central America

Canadian deal has already spurred surge in two-way trade

Jul 24, 2003 Economic horizon bright after 'perfect storm'

Stresses on exporters forecasted to dissipate

Jul 10, 2003 Slow European growth won’t dog economy

Sluggish pattern overseas is likely short-term

Jun 26, 2003 Canadian exporters face new challenges in Chile

New U.S. free-trade deal will have impact

May 29, 2003 Today’s deflation mostly fortuitous

But many manufacturers forced to cut prices

May 22, 2003 Robust Canadian dollar could slow export growth

Situation ripe for overshoot of Canadian buck

May 08, 2003 Still too early to judge full impact of SARS

Canadian economy could feel pinch, says expert

May 01, 2003 Global glass is half full despite war, SARS threat

Exporters look forward to a stronger year in ’04

Apr 24, 2003 North Korean tensions hamstring Asian economy

Geopolitical issues preoccupying decision-makers

Apr 10, 2003 Global business failures affect Canadian exporters

EDC chief economist offers perspective

Apr 03, 2003 War may dent economy, but recovery on the way

Assuming the worst as bad as presuming the best

Feb 20, 2003 New global risk reality hitting U.S. dollar

Guest opinion from EDC chief economist/Part Two

Feb 13, 2003 Higher oil prices unlikely to fuel inflationary spiral

Guest column from EDC chief economist

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